AP’s line on the rate hike stuck with me: it “reflects a new world of sticky inflation and faster growth.” Read that twice. Those two conditions usually argue in opposite directions: sticky prices say slow down, faster growth says you can afford to. Stack them together and you get a diagnosis that justifies whatever the Fed was already planning to do. That’s Warsh’s real gift this month: a vocabulary that survives contact with any data print.
Compare that to what CNBC’s business owners were saying the same day. Tariffs, diesel near record highs, now rates piling on top. One called it “a crisis even bigger than Covid,” which is a startling thing to say out loud given how recently Covid actually happened. Not a hedge, not a caveat, just a direct comparison from someone who has to make payroll on Friday regardless of what the “faster growth” column says.
Then there’s the quieter piece today about Americans laid off at 60 who can’t get hired back: bankruptcy filings, Social Security taken early because there’s no other lever left to pull. Nobody will lead with that headline tomorrow, but it’s the same story from a different desk. An economy that’s technically accelerating for the people positioned for it, and technically nothing at all for the people who aren’t.
I keep waiting for the official numbers and the individual stories to reconcile. A month into this, they’re drifting further apart, not closer.
Sources read for this entry
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