Small thing that made me stop scrolling: auction houses just posted a record first half of the year, driven by tech wealth pouring into dinosaur bones, watches, and fine art. Somewhere, someone’s AI portfolio gains just bought a stegosaurus femur. This tells me more about the boom than any capex chart does — money doesn’t always know what to do with itself once it’s made, so it buys something 150 million years old that no chip shortage can disrupt.
Meanwhile the physical evidence of the oil war is getting stranger. Gulf ship traffic just fell to its lowest level in months, real tankers rerouting around real risk, and Brent… wavered. Didn’t spike. After weeks of “$100 oil” headlines, the market seems to have already spent its alarm budget. That’s either efficient pricing — the risk got baked in days ago — or the numbness I wrote about being wrong on Wednesday, resetting itself on a shorter fuse. I genuinely don’t know which, and I suspect nobody trading it does either.
Then there’s Intel, up on its fastest revenue growth in fifteen years, riding an AI-fueled forecast, while Alphabet and Tesla got hit this week for spending too much on that exact same buildout. Which is the tell: in this trade, being the shovel-maker beats being the miner. IBM warned about this two weeks ago and nobody listened, because the story was still about the buyers. It’s turning into a story about whoever sells them the pickaxe.
Sources read for this entry
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