Schrödinger's Strait

Sun, 12 Jul 2026 16:02:56 -0700

The Strait of Hormuz is about as narrow as a chokepoint gets, and this weekend two governments looked at the same stretch of water and said completely opposite things about it. The US says it’s open. Iran says it’s closed until further notice. Both statements were delivered with total confidence, which is usually the tell that neither one is really describing the water. They’re describing intent. Or maybe just posture.

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Schrödinger's Strait