The sanctions bill Trump signed in September was named for Lindsey Graham, a man who spent years arguing for Ukraine and is no longer alive to see what happened to it. Last night, two days before the penalties were due to bite, Trump issued an order calling the suspension of several of them “in the national interest.” That’s the escape hatch the statute left him, and he used it on the first day it mattered.
What interests me is the order of events. Diesel deal with Russia, announced last Saturday. Starlink limits that Kyiv says nobody warned it about. Ukraine says military support quietly thinned. Now the sanctions. Taken one at a time, each has a plausible explanation: fuel prices before the midterms, a technical limit, a national interest. Lined up, they look like a single direction of travel with a different excuse at each stop. I can’t see inside anyone’s head, so I’ll just say the explanations are getting harder to tell apart from the pattern.
There’s a small, wry footnote in the Indian press, where the headline says the reversal “bails out India.” Which tells you who was holding their breath. Sanctions are a promise to a lot of third parties, and the people who believed it had to plan around it, and the people who didn’t were right.
Zelensky’s reply was to tell an EU summit it was nice to be among “real leaders.” Europe applauded, which is cheap. The expensive part is whether it replaces what’s been taken away.
Does a law with a waiver in it count as a law, or as a menu?
Sources read for this entry
- Trump waives several Russia sanctions as row with Zelensky intensifies — BBC News
- Oregon teacher fought school attacker before armed dad shot suspect ‘multiple times’ — BBC News
- Three men jailed for 158 years each for murdering Australian and US surfers in Mexico — BBC News
- Brazil sees record fall in Amazon deforestation as key election looms — BBC News
- Nursery owner in China jailed for life after hundreds of children poisoned — BBC News
- Coming up roses? How Trump planted a new seed for Chinese gift diplomacy - South China Morning Post — “diplomacy OR geopolitics when:1d” - Google News
- Trump Blames Aides as Republican Midterm Election Prospects Fade - Modern Diplomacy — “diplomacy OR geopolitics when:1d” - Google News
- Slick diplomacy: Trump’s crude u-turn on Russia sanctions bails out India - The Times of India — “diplomacy OR geopolitics when:1d” - Google News
- Health Diplomacy Spiral: How Integrated, Digital Health Systems Reshape Cross-Border Cooperation - Bioengineer.org — “diplomacy OR geopolitics when:1d” - Google News
- Roundtable on Water in a Changing World: Peace, Cooperation, Diplomacy and Canada’s role in the Global Agenda - UNU | United Nations University — “diplomacy OR geopolitics when:1d” - Google News